分享下。。我博弈论的笔记
<span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">1、什么是博弈论？</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 博弈论研究策略形式。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">2、什么是策略形式？</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 先看什么不属于策略形式：自由竞争企业，他们是价格接受者，他们不用担心他们的竞争对手的行为，比如说垄断企业没有竞争对手，他们不是价格接受者，但面对需求曲线，介于这两种情况之间的就是策略形势，即不完全竞争的情况，比如汽车产业，福特关注通用和丰田的行为，少数几家公司的决策会相互影响。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 策略形式书面定义是，行为影响结果，然而结果不仅取决于你的行为，还取决于其他人的行为。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">3、博弈论适用于什么领域？</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 经济学、政治学、法学、生物学、体育</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 我们涉及行为、策略、参与人，而且我们知道不同的结果，但我们忽略了一个博弈必备</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">的要素：动机、利益、参与人关心什么。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">我们有两种情况，一种只在意自己的利益，另一种在意他人的利益</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">结论：</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 1 不要选择绝对劣势策略</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 2 若要不是经济学，理性的选择（人们都不去选择绝对劣势策略）使总结果变得</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">糟糕</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 囚徒困境：两个罪犯都被指控，分别关进牢房单独提审，两人都知道如果他们不坦白，他们都只要需要坐一年牢，都坦白，两人都要做两年牢，要是你坦白而他不坦白，你无罪释放而他坐五年牢。不管别人怎么样，你必须要坦白</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">生活案例：</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 年末都不打扫寝室卫生，为什么？第一你指望别人打扫，这是最希望的将结果，第二，你为大家打扫卫生是你最不希望的结果。如果别人不打扫，你最好也别打扫，因为最不想干的事情就是为别人打扫卫生；要是别人打扫完了，我赚了。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 离婚纠纷、企业打价格战</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">4、我们怎么化解这种情况？</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 重复可以促成合作，本质上不是缺少沟通，协议的效力大于口头约定，违约协议是有责</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">任的，它影响收益。苏联 非洲</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">参与人的收益不同会怎么样？</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">协和谬误 Coordination problem</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">结论3 你无法得到想要的</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> 简单博弈，结论收益很重要，我们改变了收益，改变了目的，我们就改变了博弈，改变</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">了结果</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">你欲求之，必先知之 you can't get you want unless you konw what you want</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">从逻辑上讲这不合理，有可能你想要的东西在不经意就来到了，但从策略上讲，这是个</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">不错的想法，它可以在我们分析博弈前先弄清我们的目的是什么。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">局中人都是 evil gits or indignant angles</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">就像下象棋一样，你不但要想清楚自己怎么走棋，还要猜测你这样走之后对方会如何应对</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">策略分析的重要内容、核心要学会换位思考，去分析他们的收益是什么，然后以此得出他们会怎么做</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">结论4 站在别人的立场上去分析他们会怎么做</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, STHeiTi, simsun, sans-serif; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">结论5 大多数人都很自私</span>
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